Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 11.432608 13.052167 14.825560 16.912560 19.302918 21.956984 25.129947
2026-01-25 9.017187 11.086574 13.528776 16.627531 20.460974 25.056137 30.995500
2026-02-01 7.585785 9.830111 12.623520 16.363436 21.252383 27.444177 35.910633
2026-02-08 6.556573 8.870643 11.879451 16.089909 21.850394 29.485844 40.426044
2026-02-15 5.762969 8.093333 11.240189 15.816333 22.330330 31.314478 44.724720
2026-02-22 5.421399 7.875984 11.306567 16.473042 24.098377 35.004430 51.905743
2026-03-01 5.020411 7.520817 11.126166 16.731399 25.281462 37.922161 58.195319
2026-03-08 4.592547 7.076380 10.761890 16.661989 25.939311 40.081254 63.493324
2026-03-15 4.207175 6.654822 10.384861 16.521698 26.449125 42.021718 68.581225
2026-03-22 4.027317 6.532844 10.450313 17.067419 28.068882 45.810248 76.952971
2026-03-29 3.845197 6.387732 10.460711 17.514235 29.549885 49.475816 85.425576
2026-04-05 3.710334 6.305895 10.561658 18.110315 31.316490 53.740356 95.280643
2026-04-12 3.393106 5.893868 10.086445 17.695585 31.330260 55.050984 100.125717
2026-04-19 3.129881 5.552535 9.702579 17.403898 31.528298 56.687955 105.695371
2026-04-26 2.896198 5.242922 9.346805 17.126894 31.718354 58.307471 111.350693
2026-05-03 2.684060 4.954185 9.003719 16.840244 31.857556 59.829202 116.932453
2026-05-10 2.492021 4.686567 8.676890 16.553541 31.965069 61.285970 122.495664
2026-05-17 2.448851 4.693993 8.856717 17.241771 34.000600 66.583762 136.178201
2026-05-24 2.353631 4.593722 8.824633 17.512538 35.231234 70.399008 147.170329
2026-05-31 2.223740 4.415446 8.628508 17.439794 35.760003 72.845395 155.509191
2026-06-07 2.095550 4.230628 8.405333 17.292764 36.119934 74.967375 163.331479
2026-06-14 2.055156 4.220032 8.527257 17.864708 38.027162 80.452648 178.982207
2026-06-21 2.005276 4.185830 8.598024 18.333014 39.748181 85.676243 194.521327